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Nickel, but no dimes
The Economist, 20th September
The timing was awful. Last April, Marcos Portal, Cuba´s
basic industries minister, trailed round Europe, seeking funds
to develop the island´s vast nickel reserves. Before setting
off, as a member of Cuba´s Council of State, Mr. Portal had
voted to execute three highjackers who had seized a ferry in a
bid to reach the United States. The executions, and the jailing
of dozens of democracy activists, plunged relations between Cuba´s
Communist government and the European Union into acrimony. Mr.
Portal was received politely, but returned with nothing substantial.
Nickel is a potential bonanza for Cuba. Exports of nickel and
cobalt totalled $600m last year, more than sugar. The island is
the world´s sixth-biggest nickel producer and holds 30% of
the world´s reserves of the metal, used in stainless steel
and other alloys. The United States is a big nickel-importer, and
Cuba´s natural market; but the trade embargo means that American
firms can do no more than sniff around. So Europe takes three-quarters
of Cuba´s nickel. Canada´s Sherritt International and
various European banks have invested $400m in one nickel-concentrate
plant, run as a joint venture, and in two state-owned plants. Output
at the plants has tripled, but investors have balked at building
costly new facilities.
That means that Cuba will find it hard to take advantage of current
high prices for nickel. The government wants to boost output,
from 72,000 tonnes last year to 300,000 tonnes by 2007 and 150,000
tonnes within 15 years, by enlarging the plants. But that would
cost $1.2 billion. European diplomats say little of the money
has been secured. Several potential investors have come, looked,
and gone again. Australia´s Western Mining reneged on a
plan to build a $1 billion nickel plant and refinery. An unfinished
`plant for ferro-nickel at Las Camariocas has been moth-balled
since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Cuba´s former sponsor,
BHP-Billiton, an Anglo-Australian group, has completed a study
of a 300m-tonne deposit at San Felipe in central Cuba, but is
in no hurry to invest the $1 billion needed to develop it.
So Cuban officials have looked elsewhere. In January, Cubaniquel
signed a supply agreement with China´s state-owned mining
firm, together with letters of intent for investment of $34m in
nickel projects. But nothing may result: even the Chinese are wary
of Cuba nowadays.
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